Provisional grade — derived from this report's measured data points; the county detector suite has not measured this geography yet. The measured ARED Score replaces it on the suite's next run.
ZIP 33511
The housing market in 33511 shows signs of stabilization with a slight year-over-year price decline, reflecting broader market adjustments. Demand remains supported by the area's suburban appeal and proximity to Tampa, though affordability remains a factor for buyers. Inventory levels are currently balanced, providing a stable environment for both buyers and sellers.
This ZIP is well-suited for families and commuters seeking suburban living with convenient access to Tampa's employment core and established retail amenities.
Median prices moved down 1.5% year over year.
Homes spend a median of 45 days on market with 4.2 months of supply — a fast-moving market.
31% of listings have cut prices · homes sell at 98.5% of asking — demand is holding steady.
1 foreclosure-ledger notice — 0.1 per 10,000 residents · unemployment 3.8% · poverty 9.5% — a stable, low-distress profile.
Researched annual trajectory for this ZIP, from published historical series
Solid: researched ten-year history · dotted: 1 / 3 / 5-year projection extended from the historical 7.9%/yr trend — a deterministic estimate, not a published forecast or guarantee.
Median annual property tax paid on this ZIP's residential parcels
Solid: researched ten-year history · dotted: 1 / 3 / 5-year projection extended from the historical 7.5%/yr trend — a deterministic estimate, not a published forecast or guarantee.
versus the prior ACS vintage
net influx — more people moved in than out
ZCTA 33511, Hillsborough County FL
Crime rates in the Brandon area are generally consistent with regional averages for Hillsborough County, with property crime being the primary concern.
Schools serving the 33511 ZIP code are part of the Hillsborough County Public Schools district, which maintains a mix of ratings across elementary, middle, and high school levels.
The area is subject to standard Florida climate risks, including potential for tropical storm wind damage and localized flooding in low-lying zones.
Brandon serves as a major suburban hub for the Tampa Bay area, with ongoing commercial development along the SR 60 corridor and proximity to major regional employment centers.
Composed from the ARED governance burden registry — tier-native tax structure (state + county + city + special districts), never averaged. State (Florida) — Statewide Uniform Property Tax Lien Priority & Tax Deed Sale Enforcement: Unpaid real ad valorem and non-ad valorem taxes become a first-priority sovereign lien on January 1 of the tax year, superior to all mortgages and private liens. If unpaid by April 1 following the tax year, tax certificates are sold via competitive bidding under § 197.432. State (Florida) — Community Development District (CDD) Special Assessment & Financing Lien Mandate: Binds the parcel to non-ad valorem assessments levied directly by the CDD board to fund infrastructure bonds (capital assessments) and operations/maintenance (O&M assessments). State (Florida) — Florida Constitutional Homestead Exemption & Save Our Homes (SOH) Assessment Cap: Reduces taxable value by up to $50,000: base $25,000 exemption applies to all taxing authorities (including school districts); second $25,000 exemption applies to assessed value between $50,000 and $75,000 for non-school millage. State (Florida) — Florida Ad Valorem Real Property Assessment & Tax Mechanics: Parcels are assessed annually at 100% just value (market value) as of January 1 by county property appraisers. Tax formula: Tax Bill = (Taxable Value / 1,000) * Total Levied Millage Rate. Assessed Value = Just Value - Assessment Limitations.
Residents primarily commute via the Lee Roy Selmon Expressway or SR 60 to reach employment centers in downtown Tampa.
The area features access to local parks such as Brandon Park and proximity to the Alafia River, along with extensive retail and dining options at the Westfield Brandon mall.
The rental market is characterized by moderate vacancy pressure and steady demand, with a mix of single-family rentals and apartment complexes.
The local economy is driven by retail, healthcare, and professional services, with many residents commuting to the broader Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater metropolitan area.
Transportation is heavily reliant on private vehicles, with major access provided by I-75 and the Lee Roy Selmon Expressway.
Development is focused on mixed-use infill projects and the modernization of existing commercial centers along major arterial roads.
The Hillsborough County Property Appraiser manages assessments, with values typically updated annually based on market sales data.
Parcels are subject to Hillsborough County school and municipal taxes, with some areas potentially falling under specific community development districts (CDDs).
Property insurance premiums in the area are influenced by regional windstorm risk and the broader Florida insurance market environment.
Florida continues to see positive net domestic migration, contributing to sustained housing demand.
Florida is a judicial foreclosure state, requiring court intervention for the foreclosure process.
Sellers are required to provide a residential property disclosure statement regarding the condition of the property.
Data retrieved from data.census.gov ZCTA-level tables.
Major regional shopping and dining anchor.
Community park with recreational facilities.
Provides access to outdoor activities and nature trails.
Key-figure check: median price corroborated by the prior refresh cycle (within 12.5%).
Forecasts are for speculation only and should not be used as a deciding factor in any transaction. Projections trend strictly from calculable historical values — the platform cannot predict market movements, market sentiment, or the market itself.
Awaiting measured history — this chart renders once enough refresh-cycle reads accumulate (a one-point series is not a trend).
Awaiting measured history — this chart renders once enough refresh-cycle reads accumulate (a one-point series is not a trend).
Awaiting measured history — this chart renders once enough refresh-cycle reads accumulate (a one-point series is not a trend).
Awaiting measured history — this chart renders once enough refresh-cycle reads accumulate (a one-point series is not a trend).
Awaiting measured history — this chart renders once enough refresh-cycle reads accumulate (a one-point series is not a trend).
Awaiting measured history — this chart renders once enough refresh-cycle reads accumulate (a one-point series is not a trend).
Awaiting measured history — this chart renders once enough refresh-cycle reads accumulate (a one-point series is not a trend).
Awaiting measured history — this chart renders once enough refresh-cycle reads accumulate (a one-point series is not a trend).
Standard trend model — solid = measured history · dashed = projection anchored at each line's last measured point, following that series' trailing pace (CAGR capped ±12%/yr) or trailing mean · projections are estimates, not measured reads · every charted series runs the standard 5-year historical window with a 1-year forecast, trimmed from the full retained ledger — the forecast always extends into the future year (a lagging ledger bridges to it) and stops there on purpose: authoritative, not wizardry · every price line is county-assessed value from the district CAD — the tier's same-parcel assessment roll-up on the momentum tile, the assessed trajectory in raw dollar levels and as a YoY-chained index (base 100), and the month-over-month pace from nearby comparable sales pooled from the research track; a tier without comps yet keeps its pace story with the assessed trend. Inventory, liquidity, price-cut and foreclosure lines run on the platform's own measured series.
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Aggregate foreclosure counts for this geography — recorded notices, upcoming sales and distress weight against population. The filing-level ledger opens at Investor.
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