Provisional grade — derived from this report's measured data points; the county detector suite has not measured this geography yet. The measured ARED Score replaces it on the suite's next run.
ZIP 33616 — Tampa
The 33616 housing market is currently balanced, with a median sale price of $515,000 and a moderate pace of sales. While prices have seen a slight year-over-year decline, the area remains desirable due to its central location and proximity to major employment hubs. Inventory remains tight, which continues to support price stability despite broader market fluctuations.
This ZIP is well-suited for military personnel, commuters working in downtown Tampa, and investors looking for properties in a high-demand, central location.
Median prices moved down 5.0% year over year.
Homes spend a median of 36 days on market with 1.3 months of supply — a fast-moving market.
32% of listings have cut prices · homes sell at 98.5% of asking — demand is holding steady.
no recorded foreclosure-ledger notices (0.0 per 10,000 residents) · unemployment 3.8% · poverty 9.2% — a stable, low-distress profile.
versus the prior ACS vintage
ZCTA 33616, Hillsborough County FL
Schools serving the area are part of the Hillsborough County Public Schools district, with performance varying by specific campus.
The area faces significant flood risk, with approximately 63% of the ZIP code located in flood zones and 97% of the area at low elevation.
The area benefits from its proximity to the South Tampa employment core and MacDill Air Force Base, driving consistent demand for residential housing.
Composed from the ARED governance burden registry — tier-native tax structure (state + county + city + special districts), never averaged. State (Florida) — Statewide Uniform Property Tax Lien Priority & Tax Deed Sale Enforcement: Unpaid real ad valorem and non-ad valorem taxes become a first-priority sovereign lien on January 1 of the tax year, superior to all mortgages and private liens. If unpaid by April 1 following the tax year, tax certificates are sold via competitive bidding under § 197.432. State (Florida) — Community Development District (CDD) Special Assessment & Financing Lien Mandate: Binds the parcel to non-ad valorem assessments levied directly by the CDD board to fund infrastructure bonds (capital assessments) and operations/maintenance (O&M assessments). State (Florida) — Florida Constitutional Homestead Exemption & Save Our Homes (SOH) Assessment Cap: Reduces taxable value by up to $50,000: base $25,000 exemption applies to all taxing authorities (including school districts); second $25,000 exemption applies to assessed value between $50,000 and $75,000 for non-school millage. State (Florida) — Florida Ad Valorem Real Property Assessment & Tax Mechanics: Parcels are assessed annually at 100% just value (market value) as of January 1 by county property appraisers. Tax formula: Tax Bill = (Taxable Value / 1,000) * Total Levied Millage Rate. Assessed Value = Just Value - Assessment Limitations.
Residents have direct access to the Selmon Expressway and major arterial roads, providing a relatively efficient commute to downtown Tampa and the Westshore business district.
The area features proximity to Tampa Bay waterfront access, local parks, and is within a short drive of major shopping and dining districts in South Tampa.
The rental market is active with demand supported by proximity to military and professional employment hubs; short-term rental activity is present in the area.
The local economy is anchored by MacDill Air Force Base and the broader Tampa professional services and logistics sectors.
The area is served by major highway corridors including the Selmon Expressway, facilitating regional connectivity.
Development is primarily focused on residential infill and the renovation of existing housing stock.
The Hillsborough County Property Appraiser manages assessments, with values adjusted annually based on market data.
Parcels are subject to Hillsborough County school and municipal tax districts.
Property insurance premiums are elevated due to the area's high flood risk and coastal exposure.
Data retrieved from data.census.gov ZCTA profiles.
Provides recreational access and scenic views along the peninsula.
Key-figure check: median price corroborated by the prior refresh cycle (within 12.5%).
Forecasts are for speculation only and should not be used as a deciding factor in any transaction. Projections trend strictly from calculable historical values — the platform cannot predict market movements, market sentiment, or the market itself.
Awaiting measured history — this chart renders once enough refresh-cycle reads accumulate (a one-point series is not a trend).
Awaiting measured history — this chart renders once enough refresh-cycle reads accumulate (a one-point series is not a trend).
Awaiting measured history — this chart renders once enough refresh-cycle reads accumulate (a one-point series is not a trend).
Awaiting measured history — this chart renders once enough refresh-cycle reads accumulate (a one-point series is not a trend).
Awaiting measured history — this chart renders once enough refresh-cycle reads accumulate (a one-point series is not a trend).
Awaiting measured history — this chart renders once enough refresh-cycle reads accumulate (a one-point series is not a trend).
Awaiting measured history — this chart renders once enough refresh-cycle reads accumulate (a one-point series is not a trend).
Awaiting measured history — this chart renders once enough refresh-cycle reads accumulate (a one-point series is not a trend).
Standard trend model — solid = measured history · dashed = projection anchored at each line's last measured point, following that series' trailing pace (CAGR capped ±12%/yr) or trailing mean · projections are estimates, not measured reads · every charted series runs the standard 5-year historical window with a 1-year forecast, trimmed from the full retained ledger — the forecast always extends into the future year (a lagging ledger bridges to it) and stops there on purpose: authoritative, not wizardry · every price line is county-assessed value from the district CAD — the tier's same-parcel assessment roll-up on the momentum tile, the assessed trajectory in raw dollar levels and as a YoY-chained index (base 100), and the month-over-month pace from nearby comparable sales pooled from the research track; a tier without comps yet keeps its pace story with the assessed trend. Inventory, liquidity, price-cut and foreclosure lines run on the platform's own measured series.
Unlocked in the Investor tier
Aggregate foreclosure counts for this geography — recorded notices, upcoming sales and distress weight against population. The filing-level ledger opens at Investor.
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