Provisional grade — derived from this report's measured data points; the county detector suite has not measured this geography yet. The measured ARED Score replaces it on the suite's next run.
ZIP 38104 — Memphis
The 38104 housing market is experiencing a significant correction with median sale prices down 22% year-over-year. While sales volume has increased, the sharp decline in pricing and price-per-square-foot suggests a cooling trend in this specific Memphis ZIP code.
Median prices moved down 22.0% year over year.
Homes spend a median of 56 days on market with 0.0 months of supply — a fast-moving market.
0% of listings have cut prices · homes sell at 0% of asking — demand is holding steady.
no recorded foreclosure-ledger notices (0.0 per 10,000 residents) · unemployment 4.3% · poverty 16.0% — a stable, low-distress profile.
versus the prior ACS vintage
in-migration and out-migration balanced
ZCTA 38104
ACS 2024 5-year estimates. Aggregate published statistics for this ZIP — never individual records, and never an attribute of any individual property or resident.
Data sourced from US Census and ACS profiles.
No county-record distress flags across 2 researched properties on the ARED base layer. Key-figure check: median price diverges 74.8% from the nearest retained anchor (researched-property base layer) — beyond the 12.5% tolerance; an automated validation case is open and the value publishes pending its verdict. Validation: confirmed genuine market swing — the flagged $280,459 was independently re-read and corroborated by 2 source(s); it stands as the new anchor baseline.
Forecasts are for speculation only and should not be used as a deciding factor in any transaction. Projections trend strictly from calculable historical values — the platform cannot predict market movements, market sentiment, or the market itself.
Awaiting measured history — this chart renders once enough refresh-cycle reads accumulate (a one-point series is not a trend).
Awaiting measured history — this chart renders once enough refresh-cycle reads accumulate (a one-point series is not a trend).
Awaiting measured history — this chart renders once enough refresh-cycle reads accumulate (a one-point series is not a trend).
Awaiting measured history — this chart renders once enough refresh-cycle reads accumulate (a one-point series is not a trend).
Awaiting measured history — this chart renders once enough refresh-cycle reads accumulate (a one-point series is not a trend).
Awaiting measured history — this chart renders once enough refresh-cycle reads accumulate (a one-point series is not a trend).
Awaiting measured history — this chart renders once enough refresh-cycle reads accumulate (a one-point series is not a trend).
Awaiting measured history — this chart renders once enough refresh-cycle reads accumulate (a one-point series is not a trend).
Standard trend model — solid = measured history · dashed = projection anchored at each line's last measured point, following that series' trailing pace (CAGR capped ±12%/yr) or trailing mean · projections are estimates, not measured reads · every charted series runs the standard 5-year historical window with a 1-year forecast, trimmed from the full retained ledger — the forecast always extends into the future year (a lagging ledger bridges to it) and stops there on purpose: authoritative, not wizardry · every price line is county-assessed value from the district CAD — the tier's same-parcel assessment roll-up on the momentum tile, the assessed trajectory in raw dollar levels and as a YoY-chained index (base 100), and the month-over-month pace from nearby comparable sales pooled from the research track; a tier without comps yet keeps its pace story with the assessed trend. Inventory, liquidity, price-cut and foreclosure lines run on the platform's own measured series.
Unlocked in the Investor tier
Aggregate foreclosure counts for this geography — recorded notices, upcoming sales and distress weight against population. The filing-level ledger opens at Investor.
Upgrade to Investor — $249/mo