The story of this market
The typical home in Carson County, Texas sells for about $154,750, or $115 per square foot.
Prices are down 40.3% from a year ago, which gives buyers more room to negotiate. Homes take about 68 days to sell, which is slow. Over the long run, values in this county have grown 163% since 2000. The biggest natural hazard here is drought, which FEMA rates very high. HUD's fair market rent for a two-bedroom is $1,107 a month.
HUD sets the fair market rent for a 2-bedroom at $1,107 a month. FEMA's National Risk Index rates overall hazard risk here as Relatively High.
Price climate
Every year of price change, 2000–2025
-4.5%
2025
Each stripe is one year's median price change across the area's census tracts (FHFA repeat-sales index). Deep blue is a strong gain year, red a falling year. Best: 2023 (+20%). Worst: 2009 (-9.4%). Hover to read a year.
Monthly price momentum
Home values since 2015
+1.1%
TX · past 12 months
Freddie Mac House Price Index, single-family homes, monthly through 2026-08. Each line starts at 100 in January 2015, so a reading of 180 means prices are up 80% since then.
Rent benchmark
Fair market rent by size
$1,512
3-bed / month
HUD Fair Market Rents, fiscal 2027, for this county. A typical rent for a modest unit, used to set housing-voucher payments.
Neighborhood price trend
Long-run price trend, 2000–2025
-4.5%
2025 change
FHFA repeat-sales index, median of 1 census tracts in this county (2000 = 100). Bars are each year's median change.
Natural hazard exposure
The area's risk shape
97
Relatively High
FEMA National Risk Index. Each spoke is a hazard ranked nationally, where 100 is the most exposed. Expected annual loss: $11,480,553.
Mortgage activity
Home lending in this county
80.2%
2018 approval rate
| Year | Applications | Loans made | Approval | Investor share | Median home value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 195 | 101 | 80.2% | 15.5% | $145,000 |
CFPB Home Mortgage Disclosure Act records: every mortgage application reported by lenders for homes in this county. Approval rate is approved ÷ decided (withdrawn and incomplete files excluded). Investor share and home value are the median census tract.
Carson County, Texas
Carson County's residential market is characterized by modest transaction volume, accessible home values, and low inventory typical of rural Texas Panhandle communities. Median home listing prices hover around $155,000, supported by stable employment from regional agriculture, energy, and commuting proximity to Amarillo. Demand remains balanced with longer average days on market reflecting a deliberate small-town buyer pace.
No ARED distress-ledger coverage for this county yet — the foreclosure ingest rotates the national county directory, and filings appear here once the county's posted notices are read. Key-figure check: no independent anchor retained yet — first-researched cycles establish the anchor baseline this pass.
Select a city to expand its ZIP intel reports beneath · 4 cities · 4 ZIP reports
Median prices moved up 1.7% year over year.
Homes spend a median of 63 days on market with 1.3 months of supply — a fast-moving market.
5% of listings have cut prices · homes sell at 36.28% of asking — demand is holding steady.
no recorded foreclosure-ledger notices (0.0 per 10,000 residents) · unemployment 3.1% · poverty 7.8% — a stable, low-distress profile.
Deterministic aggregate of 4 researched ZIP reports — sales_count-weighted (population fallback); per point, children lacking the value or its weight are excluded. Tax rates, sentiment and context notes are tier-native and never roll.
Carson County, Texas — researched county-level history with a deterministic 1 / 3 / 5-year projection
Solid: researched ten-year history · dotted: 1 / 3 / 5-year projection extended from the historical 4.5%/yr trend — a deterministic estimate, not a published forecast or guarantee.
No researched properties in this county yet — the property base layer populates as property research runs, and each property feeds its ZIP's roll-up.
researched Sep 25
researched Sep 25
researched Sep 20
researched Sep 25
| 79039 | Groom | $270,000 | $161 | +6.6% | 43 | 100% | 16% | 2.2 | 775 | $1,500 | researched Sep 25 |
| 79068 | Panhandle | $175,000 | $135 | +3.6% | 44 | 98.5% | 14% | 4.2 | 640 | $1,250 | researched Sep 25 |
| 79080 | Skellytown | $148,475 | $67 | 0% | — | — | — | — | — | $894 | researched Sep 20 |
| 79097 | White Deer | $110,000 | $75 | — | 104 | — | — | — | 12 | $1,107 | researched Sep 25 |
Figures are each ZIP report's own latest research — the county roll-up aggregates them sales_count-weighted (population fallback); ZIPs cycle quarterly.
Carson County maintains a low violent and property crime rate relative to urban Texas metros and the broader state average. Law enforcement coverage is provided primarily by the Carson County Sheriff's Office alongside municipal police departments in Panhandle and White Deer.
The county is served predominantly by Panhandle ISD, White Deer ISD, and Groom ISD, which historically earn solid accountability scores from the Texas Education Agency. The districts benefit from strong community backing and favorable student-teacher ratios.
Primary hazard risks center on severe Panhandle convective storms producing damaging hail, high straight-line winds, occasional tornadoes, and seasonal grassland wildfires. Inland riverine flood risks are minimal outside local playa basins and draws, though wind and hail coverage rates heavily influence property insurance premiums.
Economic momentum is tied closely to energy generation, agribusiness, chemical manufacturing, and proximity to Amarillo and the Pantex nuclear security facility just across the western county border. Development primarily consists of agricultural facility upgrades, wind energy maintenance, and modest custom residential builds rather than large-scale tract expansions.
Composed from the ARED governance burden registry — tier-native tax structure (state + county + city + special districts), never averaged. State (Texas) — Senior (65+) and Disabled Homestead Exemption and School Tax Ceiling: Grants an additional mandatory $10,000 exemption from ISD appraised value (Taxable Value_ISD = Appraised Value - $100,000 - $10,000) and establishes an absolute statutory tax freeze (school tax ceiling): total ISD property taxes cannot exceed the dollar ceiling established in the… State (Texas) — General Residence Homestead Exemption and 10% Valuation Growth Cap: Imposes mandatory state-level valuation deductions and growth limitations on the qualifying homestead: (1) Mandates a $100,000 deduction from appraised value for independent school district (ISD) maintenance and operations/debt taxation: Taxable Value_ISD = Appraised Value - $100… State (Texas) — Ad Valorem Real Property Taxation and Assessment Ratio: Mandates ad valorem appraisal of all real property at 100% of fair market value as of January 1 each tax year (Assessment Ratio = 1.00).
Residents have access to regional attractions such as the Carson County Square House Museum complex in Panhandle, public city parks, community pools, golf courses, and sports grounds, with major dining, retail, and outdoor venues in nearby Amarillo and Palo Duro Canyon within a 30 to 45-minute drive.
The county features a limited rental inventory primarily consisting of scattered single-family houses and small duplex setups in Panhandle and White Deer. Turnover is low and vacancy is generally tight due to modest construction volumes.
The Carson County economy is anchored by agriculture, cattle ranching, petroleum and natural gas extraction, wind energy production, and public education. A substantial portion of the local workforce also commutes to nearby industrial employers such as the Pantex Plant and commercial centers in Amarillo.
Transportation centers around US Highway 60 traversing southwest to northeast connecting Panhandle to Amarillo, alongside Interstate 40 clipping the southern boundary near Groom. BNSF Railway provides significant freight rail infrastructure across the county.
Development activity is modest, characterized by small-scale commercial additions, infrastructure upgrades by municipal utilities, and custom residential infill in Panhandle and White Deer.
The Carson County Appraisal District appraises all real and business personal property at 100 percent of fair market value under the Texas Property Tax Code. Values are reassessed periodically using mass appraisal approaches based on local market transactions.
Special taxing units overlapping the county include the Carson County Hospital District, local underground water conservation districts (Panhandle GCD), and independent school districts.
Property insurance is primarily impacted by windstorm, hail, and wildfire risks typical of the Texas Panhandle. Insurers routinely require separate wind and hail deductibles or endorsements, with rates steadily increasing in recent underwriting cycles.
- Wonderland Amusement Park427 mi
- Eastridge Lanes4.325 mi
- Pampa H20 Water Park4.526.6 mi
- Xcape Room Warehouse528.5 mi
- Amarillo Civic Center Complex4.628.2 mi
- Dick Bivins Stadium4.327.2 mi
- Amarillo Tri-State Exposition & Tri-State Fair & Rodeo4.227 mi
- Hodgetown Stadium4.728.4 mi
- Route 66 Motor Speedway4.826.4 mi
- Lake Meredith National Recreation Area Headquarters4.615.4 mi
- Alibates Flint Quarries Visitor Center4.717.3 mi
- Wildcatters Bowling and Entertainment3.813.5 mi
- The Morley Theatre4.415.1 mi
- Huber Park4.513.7 mi
- The Big Texan Steak Ranch & Brewery4.425.7 mi
- American Quarter Horse Hall of Fame & Museum4.627.9 mi
- Texas Air & Space Museum4.723.1 mi
- Santa Fe Building4.228.7 mi
- Amarillo Museum of Art4.629.7 mi
- Fritch Fortress Campground4.618 mi
- Huber Park4.513.7 mi
- Lake Meredith Marina4.718.5 mi
Theme parks, venues, golf, airports, museums, water and shopping across the area from Google Maps, ranked by popularity within the radius shown.
The amenity base that shapes daily life and property demand in this county — what residents actually live with, and what the pipeline is adding.
Located in Panhandle, this multi-building museum complex showcases regional Panhandle history, pioneer living, and Texas Plains cultural exhibits.
A 9-hole public/semi-private course providing accessible golf and community recreation in the county seat.
Community park providing sports facilities, picnic shelters, and event space for seasonal town festivals.
Retrieved via Census Bureau QuickFacts and ACS 5-year data profiles for Carson County, Texas (FIPS 48065).
applies when — Parcel is encumbered by a Texas constitutional home equity loan (HELOC or lump-sum equity loan).
Bars private power-of-sale foreclosure. Constitutional protections strictly require lenders to obtain a formal judicial or expedited quasi-judicial court order under Texas Rules of Civil Procedure 735 and 736 before initiating foreclosure proceedings against homestead residential property.
Tex. Const. art. XVI, Sec. 50(a)(6)(D); Tex. R. Civ. P. 735, 736.
applies when — Parcel is situated within a Municipal Utility District (MUD), Water Control and Improvement District (WCID), or other special taxing district created under Article XVI, Section 59 of the Texas Constitution.
Subject to supplemental ad valorem debt-service and maintenance tax levies imposed by the MUD board. Sellers are statutorily required to furnish an executed statutory district disclosure notice stating the district's authority to levy taxes, current tax rates, and total authorized bond indebtedness prior to contract execution. If notice is omitted, the buyer maintains statutory rights to terminate the transaction or sue for damages up to $5,000 plus costs.
Tex. Water Code Ann. Sec. 49.452.
applies when — Parcel is located within the unincorporated extraterritorial jurisdiction (ETJ) adjacent to an incorporated municipality (ranging from 0.5 to 5 miles depending on municipal population).
Subjects parcel subdivision and development to municipal platting authority, roadway access rules, and utility easements under Local Government Code Chapter 212, even though municipal zoning does not apply. In 2023, the state enacted a petition/referendum mechanism permitting landowners in an ETJ to unilaterally opt out and release their parcel from municipal ETJ regulation.
Tex. Loc. Gov't Code Ann. Chapters 42, 212, and Chapter 247 (enacted by Texas Senate Bill 2038, effective September 1, 2023).
applies when — Parcel is subject to mandatory membership in a property owners' association under recorded restrictive covenants.
Obligates the seller to provide a formal statutory disclosure notice to the prospective purchaser before contract execution detailing mandatory HOA membership, obligations to pay regular assessments, association restrictive covenants, and the prospect of lien foreclosure for delinquency. Failure to deliver the notice enables the purchaser to terminate the contract prior to closing.
Tex. Prop. Code Ann. Sec. 5.012 and Sec. 207.003.
applies when — Parcel is subject to recorded dedicatory instruments, restrictive covenants, and mandatory membership in a property owners' association (POA/HOA).
Imposes statutory covenants and restrictions on parcel encumbrance and enforcement: association must file management certificates with county clerk and TREC; requires an expedited judicial court order under Tex. R. Civ. P. 736 to foreclose an assessment lien; bars non-judicial foreclosure for purely fine-based or attorney fee liens; guarantees the property owner a 180-day statutory post-foreclosure right of redemption; establishes statutory owner protections preventing POAs from banning solar panels, religious displays, security measures, or rain-harvesting barrels.
Tex. Prop. Code Ann. Chapter 209 (amended extensively under SB 1588 effective September 1, 2021).
applies when — Ad valorem real property taxes assessed by local taxing entities become delinquent under Chapter 33.
Authorizes local taxing entities to seize and judicially foreclose on the parcel to satisfy accrued tax debt, interest, and administrative penalties. Grants former owners an absolute post-sale statutory right of redemption: (1) 2-year redemption window for residence homesteads and ag-exempt land with redemption costs equal to purchase price plus a 25% premium in year 1 or a 50% premium in year 2; (2) 180-day redemption window for non-homestead residential parcels with a 25% premium.
Tex. Tax Code Ann. Chapters 33 and 34 (specifically Sec. 34.21).
applies when — Real property parcel secured by a deed of trust or contract lien containing an express power-of-sale clause upon borrower default (conventional mortgages).
Permits private non-judicial foreclosure without court intervention. Imposes strict statutory procedural timeline: minimum 20-day written notice of default and intent to accelerate with right to cure, followed by minimum 21-day public notice of sale (recorded with county clerk, posted at courthouse, and served on debtor via certified mail). Foreclosure sales must occur on the first Tuesday of the month between 10:00 a.m. and 4:00 p.m. at the designated county venue. Under Texas law, conventional mortgage non-judicial foreclosure conveys permanent title without any post-sale statutory right of redemption for the mortgagor.
Tex. Prop. Code Ann. Sec. 51.002.
Statutorily compels sellers to affirmatively disclose whether the property is located wholly or partly in a 100-year floodplain, 500-year floodplain, floodway, flood pool, or reservoir; whether the parcel has ever experienced flooding or water penetration into structures during a natural event; and whether the seller currently maintains flood insurance coverage.
Tex. Prop. Code Ann. Sec. 5.008(b), amended by Texas Senate Bill 339 following Hurricane Harvey (effective September 1, 2019).
Obligates the seller to deliver an executed comprehensive written disclosure notice to the purchaser before entering into an executory contract. Failure to deliver the disclosure gives the buyer a statutory, unconditional right to terminate the purchase contract for any reason within seven days after receiving the notice or before closing, whichever occurs first.
Tex. Prop. Code Ann. Sec. 5.008.
applies when — Homestead parcel is owned and occupied by an individual aged 65 or older or an individual who qualifies as disabled under federal guidelines.
Grants an additional mandatory $10,000 exemption from ISD appraised value (Taxable Value_ISD = Appraised Value - $100,000 - $10,000) and establishes an absolute statutory tax freeze (school tax ceiling): total ISD property taxes cannot exceed the dollar ceiling established in the first qualifying year, unless new improvements or additions are made to the parcel.
Tex. Tax Code Ann. Sec. 11.13(c) and Sec. 11.26.
applies when — The residential structure and land (up to 20 acres) are owned and occupied as the owner's principal residence as of the qualification date.
Imposes mandatory state-level valuation deductions and growth limitations on the qualifying homestead: (1) Mandates a $100,000 deduction from appraised value for independent school district (ISD) maintenance and operations/debt taxation: Taxable Value_ISD = Appraised Value - $100,000; (2) Grants optional local-option percentage deductions (up to 20% of appraised value, minimum $5,000) for cities and counties: Taxable Value_Local = Appraised Value - Max(0.20 * Appraised Value, $5,000); (3) Caps annual homestead appraised value increases at 10% plus the value of new improvements: Appraised Value_t <= (1.10 * Appraised Value_{t-1}) + Value_NewImprovements.
Tex. Tax Code Ann. Sec. 11.13 and Sec. 23.23. The ISD exemption was expanded to $100,000 via constitutional amendment (Proposition 4) effective for tax years beginning on or after January 1, 2023.
Mandates ad valorem appraisal of all real property at 100% of fair market value as of January 1 each tax year (Assessment Ratio = 1.00). Tax liability formula: Total Tax = SUM[(Appraised Value - Applicable Exemptions) * (Local Taxing Unit Adopted Rate / 100)] across all overlapping taxing units (independent school district, county, municipality, special districts). Establishes a statutory administrative protest and appeal process before the County Appraisal Review Board (ARB).
Tex. Tax Code Ann. Title 1, Subtitles A-D (specifically Sec. 23.01 and Sec. 26.01 et seq.). Annual appraisal cycle effective January 1.
Governance registry — every jurisdiction re-researches on a rolling 90-day cycle. Property reports compose these inherited burdens into a per-parcel ledger with conditional determinations. Informational only — not legal advice.