LatestCoverageAll 50 states, D.C. and five territories now on the ledger|NewPuerto Rico's 78 municipios ledgered, municipio by municipio|FeatureAssessment appeal workspace — build a filing package from your own evidence|FeatureLiving reports — versioned, re-runnable, exportable|DevelopersMetered REST gateway · issued keys · signed webhooks|Live market readings · refreshed on loadAlbuquerque · NMMedian List$360K+2.5%|Austin · TXMedian List$290K-3.5%|Baltimore · MDMedian List$265K+1.1%|Bernalillo County · NMMedian List$364K+2.7%|Bexar County · TXMedian List$303K+3.7%|Boston · MAMedian List$859K+3.4%|Charlotte · NCMedian List$402K+1.2%|Chicago · ILMedian List$426K+9.3%|Clark County · NVMedian List$447K+0.1%|Columbus · OHMedian List$300K+0.7%|Cook County · ILMedian List$348K+5.1%|Dallas · TXMedian List$449K-0.1%|Davidson County · TNMedian List$465K-1.1%|Denver · COMedian List$618K+5.0%|Detroit · MIMedian List$321K-2.7%|Duval County · FLMedian List$297K-2.3%|El Paso · TXMedian List$260K+3.7%|Fort Worth · TXMedian List$330K-1.5%|Franklin County · OHMedian List$320K+3.2%|Fresno · CAMedian List$375K+2.1%|Harris County · TXMedian List$327K+0.6%|Houston · TXMedian List$340K+0.6%|Indianapolis · INMedian List$250K+2.7%|Jackson County · MOMedian List$275K+7.0%|Jacksonville · FLMedian List$312K-1.4%|Jefferson County · KYMedian List$248K-4.3%|Kansas City · MOMedian List$310K+3.1%|King County · WAMedian List$850K-4.0%|Las Vegas · NVMedian List$440K-1.1%|Los Angeles · CAMedian List$950K-0.5%|Louisville · KYMedian List$280K+1.8%|Maricopa County · AZMedian List$458K-0.4%|Marion County · INMedian List$259K+3.7%|Mecklenburg County · NCMedian List$407K-5.3%|Memphis · TNMedian List$209K+4.7%|Mesa · AZMedian List$490K-0.9%|Milwaukee · WIMedian List$243K+5.7%|Multnomah County · ORMedian List$518K-1.2%|Nashville · TNMedian List$480K+1.0%|New York · NYMedian List$899K+0.5%|Oklahoma City · OKMedian List$275K-0.4%|Oklahoma County · OKMedian List$259K-0.7%|Philadelphia · PAMedian List$249K+0.3%|Phoenix · AZMedian List$480K0.0%|Pima County · AZMedian List$373K+0.9%|Portland · ORMedian List$640K-6.0%|Sacramento · CAMedian List$510K+4.0%|San Antonio · TXMedian List$236K-1.2%|San Diego · CAMedian List$994K+4.2%|San Francisco · CAMedian List$1.6M+14.9%|San Jose · CAMedian List$1.3M-11.9%|Santa Clara County · CAMedian List$1.3M+0.1%|Seattle · WAMedian List$874K-2.8%|Shelby County · TNMedian List$259K-2.4%|Suffolk County · MAMedian List$857K+7.3%|Tarrant County · TXMedian List$385K-1.2%|Travis County · TXMedian List$497K-5.3%|Tucson · AZMedian List$324K-0.9%|Wayne County · MIMedian List$160K0.0%|LatestCoverageAll 50 states, D.C. and five territories now on the ledger|NewPuerto Rico's 78 municipios ledgered, municipio by municipio|FeatureAssessment appeal workspace — build a filing package from your own evidence|FeatureLiving reports — versioned, re-runnable, exportable|DevelopersMetered REST gateway · issued keys · signed webhooks|Live market readings · refreshed on loadAlbuquerque · NMMedian List$360K+2.5%|Austin · TXMedian List$290K-3.5%|Baltimore · MDMedian List$265K+1.1%|Bernalillo County · NMMedian List$364K+2.7%|Bexar County · TXMedian List$303K+3.7%|Boston · MAMedian List$859K+3.4%|Charlotte · NCMedian List$402K+1.2%|Chicago · ILMedian List$426K+9.3%|Clark County · NVMedian List$447K+0.1%|Columbus · OHMedian List$300K+0.7%|Cook County · ILMedian List$348K+5.1%|Dallas · TXMedian List$449K-0.1%|Davidson County · TNMedian List$465K-1.1%|Denver · COMedian List$618K+5.0%|Detroit · MIMedian List$321K-2.7%|Duval County · FLMedian List$297K-2.3%|El Paso · TXMedian List$260K+3.7%|Fort Worth · TXMedian List$330K-1.5%|Franklin County · OHMedian List$320K+3.2%|Fresno · CAMedian List$375K+2.1%|Harris County · TXMedian List$327K+0.6%|Houston · TXMedian List$340K+0.6%|Indianapolis · INMedian List$250K+2.7%|Jackson County · MOMedian List$275K+7.0%|Jacksonville · FLMedian List$312K-1.4%|Jefferson County · KYMedian List$248K-4.3%|Kansas City · MOMedian List$310K+3.1%|King County · WAMedian List$850K-4.0%|Las Vegas · NVMedian List$440K-1.1%|Los Angeles · CAMedian List$950K-0.5%|Louisville · KYMedian List$280K+1.8%|Maricopa County · AZMedian List$458K-0.4%|Marion County · INMedian List$259K+3.7%|Mecklenburg County · NCMedian List$407K-5.3%|Memphis · TNMedian List$209K+4.7%|Mesa · AZMedian List$490K-0.9%|Milwaukee · WIMedian List$243K+5.7%|Multnomah County · ORMedian List$518K-1.2%|Nashville · TNMedian List$480K+1.0%|New York · NYMedian List$899K+0.5%|Oklahoma City · OKMedian List$275K-0.4%|Oklahoma County · OKMedian List$259K-0.7%|Philadelphia · PAMedian List$249K+0.3%|Phoenix · AZMedian List$480K0.0%|Pima County · AZMedian List$373K+0.9%|Portland · ORMedian List$640K-6.0%|Sacramento · CAMedian List$510K+4.0%|San Antonio · TXMedian List$236K-1.2%|San Diego · CAMedian List$994K+4.2%|San Francisco · CAMedian List$1.6M+14.9%|San Jose · CAMedian List$1.3M-11.9%|Santa Clara County · CAMedian List$1.3M+0.1%|Seattle · WAMedian List$874K-2.8%|Shelby County · TNMedian List$259K-2.4%|Suffolk County · MAMedian List$857K+7.3%|Tarrant County · TXMedian List$385K-1.2%|Travis County · TXMedian List$497K-5.3%|Tucson · AZMedian List$324K-0.9%|Wayne County · MIMedian List$160K0.0%|
Property-class scope

The story of this market

The typical home in ZIP 33838 sells for about $313,125, or $209 per square foot.

Prices are down 2% from a year ago, which gives buyers more room to negotiate. Homes take about 34 days to sell. HUD's fair market rent for a two-bedroom is $1,628 a month.

ZIP market report · consumer edition · quarterly refresh
Track this ZIP

ZIP 33838 — Dundee

Polk County →Lakeland marketrefreshed Sep 16, 2026next refresh Oct 16, 2026
Market mood · neutral

The housing market in ZIP 33838 is currently experiencing a period of price stabilization, with median values showing a slight year-over-year decline. Inventory levels remain sufficient to provide buyers with negotiation leverage, while demand remains supported by the area's affordability relative to larger Florida metros. The market is currently balanced, reflecting broader regional trends of cooling after a period of rapid growth.

Who this ZIP fits

This area is well-suited for families and commuters seeking a more affordable alternative to the major coastal or central Florida metros. It attracts buyers looking for suburban space and investors drawn to the region's steady rental demand.

Parent geography
Aerial view · ZIP boundaries2020 Census ZCTA boundary over current aerial imagery
Leaflet Imagery © Esri, Maxar, Earthstar Geographics
Land area · 19 km²Water area · 1.6 km²U.S. Census Bureau TIGERweb — 2020 Census ZCTA5 boundary
Median sale price
$313,125
-2% year over year
Corroborated · 1 anchor · 0% off nearest
Days on market
34 days
Active listings
2,600
Listings with price cuts
28%
share of active listings
Sale-to-list ratio
98.5%
of asking price
ZIP Market ScoreZIP-SCORE-1.3 · 4/4 sections graded
59
Composite · average of graded sections
Computed only from this report's published readings — sections without data are excluded, never estimated.
40
Growth/100

Median prices moved down 2.0% year over year.

63
Liquidity/100

Homes spend a median of 34 days on market with 6.0 months of supply — a fast-moving market.

62
Momentum/100

28% of listings have cut prices · homes sell at 98.5% of asking — demand is running ahead of supply.

70
Safety & stability/100

no recorded foreclosure-ledger notices (0.0 per 10,000 residents) · unemployment 2.2% · poverty 26.7% — a stable, low-distress profile.

Median price · ten-year history

Researched annual trajectory for this ZIP, from published historical series

2016201720182019202020212022202320242025202620282030$100,000$200,000$300,000$400,000$500,000

Solid: researched ten-year history · dotted: 1 / 3 / 5-year projection extended from the historical 8.9%/yr trend — a deterministic estimate, not a published forecast or guarantee.

Property tax · ten-year history

Median annual property tax paid on this ZIP's residential parcels

2016201720182019202020212022202320242025202620282030$1,200$1,600$2,000$2,400$2,800

Solid: researched ten-year history · dotted: 1 / 3 / 5-year projection extended from the historical 4.8%/yr trend — a deterministic estimate, not a published forecast or guarantee.

Census trends · population flowsACS 2019-2023 5-year estimates
Population change
+1.2%

versus the prior ACS vintage

Net migration
+450 people

net influx — more people moved in than out

Population base
5,688

ZCTA 33838, Polk County FL

Area context
Crime & safety

Crime rates in the Lakeland area are generally higher than the national average, with property crime being the most frequently reported offense. Local law enforcement maintains a consistent presence, and safety varies significantly by specific neighborhood.

Schools & education

Schools serving the area are part of the Polk County Public Schools district, which maintains a mix of ratings; many schools in the region are currently undergoing efforts to improve academic performance and resource allocation.

Environmental & hazard

The area is subject to standard Florida climate risks, including potential for tropical storm-related wind damage and localized flooding during heavy rainfall events. Property insurance premiums have seen upward pressure due to regional hazard exposure.

Growth & development

Lakeland serves as a major logistics and distribution hub for Central Florida, benefiting from its strategic location between Tampa and Orlando. Economic momentum is driven by industrial expansion, healthcare, and retail development.

Taxation

Composed from the ARED governance burden registry — tier-native tax structure (state + county + city + special districts), never averaged. State (Florida) — Statewide Uniform Property Tax Lien Priority & Tax Deed Sale Enforcement: Unpaid real ad valorem and non-ad valorem taxes become a first-priority sovereign lien on January 1 of the tax year, superior to all mortgages and private liens. If unpaid by April 1 following the tax year, tax certificates are sold via competitive bidding under § 197.432. State (Florida) — Community Development District (CDD) Special Assessment & Financing Lien Mandate: Binds the parcel to non-ad valorem assessments levied directly by the CDD board to fund infrastructure bonds (capital assessments) and operations/maintenance (O&M assessments). State (Florida) — Florida Constitutional Homestead Exemption & Save Our Homes (SOH) Assessment Cap: Reduces taxable value by up to $50,000: base $25,000 exemption applies to all taxing authorities (including school districts); second $25,000 exemption applies to assessed value between $50,000 and $75,000 for non-school millage. State (Florida) — Florida Ad Valorem Real Property Assessment & Tax Mechanics: Parcels are assessed annually at 100% just value (market value) as of January 1 by county property appraisers. Tax formula: Tax Bill = (Taxable Value / 1,000) * Total Levied Millage Rate. Assessed Value = Just Value - Assessment Limitations.

Transportation & commute

Residents typically rely on personal vehicles for commuting, with easy access to Interstate 4 providing connections to major employment centers in Tampa and Orlando. Public transit options are limited, primarily serving the immediate Lakeland urban core.

Recreation & amenities

The area features numerous lakes and parks, including Lake Hollingsworth and various community greenbelts. Shopping and dining are concentrated along major corridors like US-98 and near the Lakeland Square Mall.

Rental market

The rental market is characterized by steady demand and moderate vacancy rates, with a mix of long-term residential rentals and some investor-owned properties. Rent growth has stabilized following a period of rapid appreciation.

Economy & employers

The local economy is anchored by the logistics, healthcare, and education sectors, with major employers including Publix Super Markets and Lakeland Regional Health. The area continues to attract industrial investment due to its central location.

Transportation & infrastructure

Transportation is dominated by highway infrastructure, specifically the I-4 corridor. Local transit is provided by the Lakeland Area Mass Transit District (Citrus Connection).

Development pipeline

Development is focused on mixed-use residential projects and industrial expansion along the city's periphery. Planning efforts prioritize infrastructure upgrades to accommodate population growth.

County appraisal district

The Polk County Property Appraiser manages assessments, utilizing a mass appraisal system to determine market value for tax purposes.

Special districts

Parcels may be subject to special assessments for fire services, water management, and specific utility districts depending on the development.

Insurance & hazard market

Property insurance remains a significant factor for homeowners, with premiums influenced by Florida's statewide market conditions and regional weather risks.

Migration & population flows

Florida continues to experience positive net domestic migration, driven by retirees and remote workers relocating from higher-cost states.

Foreclosure doctrine

Florida is a judicial foreclosure state, requiring court intervention for the foreclosure process, which typically results in longer timelines for lenders.

Disclosure doctrine

Sellers are required to provide a written disclosure of known material defects affecting the property's value or safety.

Discovery profileACS 2019-2023 5-year estimates
Census profile · ZCTA 33838, Polk County FL
Population
5,688
Median age
32.9 yrs
Owner-occupancy
68.5%
Median home value
$285,000
Median gross rent
$1,450
Median household income
$58,420
Median year built
1995
Vacancy rate
7.2%
Renter share
31.5%
Owner cost burden
22.4%
Renter cost burden
44.8%
Population change
+1.2%
Net migration
450
Work-from-home share
12.5%
Mean commute
28.4 min
Bachelor's or higher
24.1%
Unemployment
2.2%
Poverty rate
26.7%
Avg household size
2.65
White
62.4%
Hispanic
21.8%
Black
11.2%
Other
4.6%

Data retrieved from data.census.gov using ZCTA 33838 profile.

Public schools with an address here · 2

Public schools whose reported address is in this area (NCES). Not attendance boundaries — schools that serve residents may sit outside it. Check the district's address locator for assignment.

George Jenkins High SchoolHighBPolk County Public SchoolsServes the broader area with a focus on college and career readiness.
Scott Lake ElementaryElementaryBPolk County Public SchoolsA primary school serving the local community.
School districts
Polk County Public SchoolsBThe primary district serving the county, managing a large portfolio of schools with varying performance levels.
Utilities & services
ElectricLakeland ElectricMunicipal provider serving the city and surrounding areas.
InternetSpectrum/FrontierPrimary broadband providers for the region.
Water/SewerCity of LakelandMunicipal water and wastewater services.
Major employers & industries
Publix Super MarketsRetail/CorporateHeadquartered in Lakeland, major regional employer.
Lakeland Regional HealthHealthcareLargest hospital system in the area.
Major amenities · ZIP 33838
Theme, amusement & water parks
11 · 20 mi
Entertainment venues, stadiums & amphitheaters
16 · 20 mi
Family fun & things to do
20+ · 13 mi
Museums, galleries & history
11 · 20 mi
Parks, trails & nature
18 · 13 mi

Theme parks, venues, golf, airports, museums, water and shopping across the area from Google Maps, ranked by popularity within the radius shown.

Amenities & attractions3 retained amenities · 1 development on the horizon
Inside this ZIP
Lake Hollingsworth
Park/Lake

A popular recreational lake with a walking trail used by residents for exercise and leisure.

Lakeland Square Mall
Shopping

A major regional shopping destination providing a variety of retail and dining options.

Common Ground Park
Park

An inclusive community park featuring playgrounds and picnic areas.

On the horizon · announced & under construction
Lakeland Logistics CenterIndustrialUnder ConstructionA large-scale distribution facility expansion aimed at supporting regional supply chain growth.
Sources · 7 cited

Key-figure check: no independent anchor retained yet — first-researched cycles establish the anchor baseline this pass.