The story of this market
The typical home in ZIP 33838 sells for about $313,125, or $209 per square foot.
Prices are down 2% from a year ago, which gives buyers more room to negotiate. Homes take about 34 days to sell. HUD's fair market rent for a two-bedroom is $1,628 a month.
ZIP 33838 — Dundee
The housing market in ZIP 33838 is currently experiencing a period of price stabilization, with median values showing a slight year-over-year decline. Inventory levels remain sufficient to provide buyers with negotiation leverage, while demand remains supported by the area's affordability relative to larger Florida metros. The market is currently balanced, reflecting broader regional trends of cooling after a period of rapid growth.
This area is well-suited for families and commuters seeking a more affordable alternative to the major coastal or central Florida metros. It attracts buyers looking for suburban space and investors drawn to the region's steady rental demand.
Median prices moved down 2.0% year over year.
Homes spend a median of 34 days on market with 6.0 months of supply — a fast-moving market.
28% of listings have cut prices · homes sell at 98.5% of asking — demand is running ahead of supply.
no recorded foreclosure-ledger notices (0.0 per 10,000 residents) · unemployment 2.2% · poverty 26.7% — a stable, low-distress profile.
Researched annual trajectory for this ZIP, from published historical series
Solid: researched ten-year history · dotted: 1 / 3 / 5-year projection extended from the historical 8.9%/yr trend — a deterministic estimate, not a published forecast or guarantee.
Median annual property tax paid on this ZIP's residential parcels
Solid: researched ten-year history · dotted: 1 / 3 / 5-year projection extended from the historical 4.8%/yr trend — a deterministic estimate, not a published forecast or guarantee.
versus the prior ACS vintage
net influx — more people moved in than out
ZCTA 33838, Polk County FL
Crime rates in the Lakeland area are generally higher than the national average, with property crime being the most frequently reported offense. Local law enforcement maintains a consistent presence, and safety varies significantly by specific neighborhood.
Schools serving the area are part of the Polk County Public Schools district, which maintains a mix of ratings; many schools in the region are currently undergoing efforts to improve academic performance and resource allocation.
The area is subject to standard Florida climate risks, including potential for tropical storm-related wind damage and localized flooding during heavy rainfall events. Property insurance premiums have seen upward pressure due to regional hazard exposure.
Lakeland serves as a major logistics and distribution hub for Central Florida, benefiting from its strategic location between Tampa and Orlando. Economic momentum is driven by industrial expansion, healthcare, and retail development.
Composed from the ARED governance burden registry — tier-native tax structure (state + county + city + special districts), never averaged. State (Florida) — Statewide Uniform Property Tax Lien Priority & Tax Deed Sale Enforcement: Unpaid real ad valorem and non-ad valorem taxes become a first-priority sovereign lien on January 1 of the tax year, superior to all mortgages and private liens. If unpaid by April 1 following the tax year, tax certificates are sold via competitive bidding under § 197.432. State (Florida) — Community Development District (CDD) Special Assessment & Financing Lien Mandate: Binds the parcel to non-ad valorem assessments levied directly by the CDD board to fund infrastructure bonds (capital assessments) and operations/maintenance (O&M assessments). State (Florida) — Florida Constitutional Homestead Exemption & Save Our Homes (SOH) Assessment Cap: Reduces taxable value by up to $50,000: base $25,000 exemption applies to all taxing authorities (including school districts); second $25,000 exemption applies to assessed value between $50,000 and $75,000 for non-school millage. State (Florida) — Florida Ad Valorem Real Property Assessment & Tax Mechanics: Parcels are assessed annually at 100% just value (market value) as of January 1 by county property appraisers. Tax formula: Tax Bill = (Taxable Value / 1,000) * Total Levied Millage Rate. Assessed Value = Just Value - Assessment Limitations.
Residents typically rely on personal vehicles for commuting, with easy access to Interstate 4 providing connections to major employment centers in Tampa and Orlando. Public transit options are limited, primarily serving the immediate Lakeland urban core.
The area features numerous lakes and parks, including Lake Hollingsworth and various community greenbelts. Shopping and dining are concentrated along major corridors like US-98 and near the Lakeland Square Mall.
The rental market is characterized by steady demand and moderate vacancy rates, with a mix of long-term residential rentals and some investor-owned properties. Rent growth has stabilized following a period of rapid appreciation.
The local economy is anchored by the logistics, healthcare, and education sectors, with major employers including Publix Super Markets and Lakeland Regional Health. The area continues to attract industrial investment due to its central location.
Transportation is dominated by highway infrastructure, specifically the I-4 corridor. Local transit is provided by the Lakeland Area Mass Transit District (Citrus Connection).
Development is focused on mixed-use residential projects and industrial expansion along the city's periphery. Planning efforts prioritize infrastructure upgrades to accommodate population growth.
The Polk County Property Appraiser manages assessments, utilizing a mass appraisal system to determine market value for tax purposes.
Parcels may be subject to special assessments for fire services, water management, and specific utility districts depending on the development.
Property insurance remains a significant factor for homeowners, with premiums influenced by Florida's statewide market conditions and regional weather risks.
Florida continues to experience positive net domestic migration, driven by retirees and remote workers relocating from higher-cost states.
Florida is a judicial foreclosure state, requiring court intervention for the foreclosure process, which typically results in longer timelines for lenders.
Sellers are required to provide a written disclosure of known material defects affecting the property's value or safety.
Data retrieved from data.census.gov using ZCTA 33838 profile.
Public schools whose reported address is in this area (NCES). Not attendance boundaries — schools that serve residents may sit outside it. Check the district's address locator for assignment.
- LEGOLAND® Florida Resort4.45.3 mi
- PEPPA PIG Theme Park Florida4.15.2 mi
- Boggy Creek Airboat Adventures4.817.4 mi
- Encore Resort at Reunion4.319.1 mi
- LEGOLAND® Florida Water Park4.55.3 mi
- Cinépolis Luxury Cinemas IMAX Polk4.215.4 mi
- Lake Myrtle Sports Park4.614.2 mi
- Solterra Resort4.315.6 mi
- AdventHealth Fieldhouse and Conference Center4.57.4 mi
- Bella Cosa Wedding Venue4.75.8 mi
- Bok Tower Gardens4.85.6 mi
- PEPPA PIG Theme Park Florida4.15.2 mi
- Lake Eva Community Park4.76.2 mi
- LEGOLAND® Florida Water Park4.55.3 mi
- Incredibowl Entertainment Winter Haven4.45.1 mi
- Bok Tower Gardens4.85.6 mi
- Spook Hill3.97.2 mi
- Fantasy of Flight4.316.3 mi
- Wonder House4.816.8 mi
- Bok Tower Visitor Center4.95.7 mi
- Lake Eva Community Park4.76.2 mi
- Simmers-Young Park4.510.6 mi
- Trailhead Park Playground4.67.5 mi
- South Lake Howard Nature Park4.78.4 mi
- Poinciana Community Park4.66.6 mi
- Camp Mack4.514.4 mi
- Marine Supply, the Boating Center4.77.6 mi
- Freedom Boat Club - Winter Haven - Lake Eloise4.86.3 mi
- The Harbor Waterfront Resort4.412.5 mi
- Scooters Boat Rental Florida57.9 mi
- Southern Dunes Golf and Country Club4.57.9 mi
- White Heron Golf Club4.112.2 mi
- Stonegate Golf Club at Solivita4.411.5 mi
- Cypresswood Golf and Country Club3.82.4 mi
- Willowbrook Golf Course46.8 mi
- Publix Super Market at St. Charles Plaza4.511.5 mi
- Publix Super Market at Haines City Mall4.56.6 mi
- Rural King4.59 mi
- Zocalo Fish Market & Grill4.46.8 mi
- Publix Super Market at Mariana Acres4.510.1 mi
- Lakeland Linder International Airport4.724.8 mi
- Air Force Fun Helicopter Tours4.827 mi
Theme parks, venues, golf, airports, museums, water and shopping across the area from Google Maps, ranked by popularity within the radius shown.
A popular recreational lake with a walking trail used by residents for exercise and leisure.
A major regional shopping destination providing a variety of retail and dining options.
An inclusive community park featuring playgrounds and picnic areas.
Key-figure check: no independent anchor retained yet — first-researched cycles establish the anchor baseline this pass.