The story of this market
The typical home in Polk County, Florida sells for about $311,490, or $174 per square foot.
Prices are down 2% from a year ago, which gives buyers more room to negotiate. Homes take about 60 days to sell. Over the long run, values in this county have grown 183% since 2000. Last year 50 of 107 neighborhoods saw prices rise, so the story isn't the same street to street. The biggest natural hazard here is strong wind, which FEMA rates relatively high. HUD's fair market rent for a two-bedroom is $1,608 a month.
HUD sets the fair market rent for a 2-bedroom at $1,608 a month. FEMA's National Risk Index rates overall hazard risk here as Relatively Low.
Price climate
Every year of price change, 2000–2025
0%
2025
Each stripe is one year's median price change across the area's census tracts (FHFA repeat-sales index). Deep blue is a strong gain year, red a falling year. Best: 2005 (+26.2%). Worst: 2009 (-14.4%). Hover to read a year.
Monthly price momentum
Home values since 2015
+1%
FL · past 12 months
Freddie Mac House Price Index, single-family homes, monthly through 2026-08. Each line starts at 100 in January 2015, so a reading of 180 means prices are up 80% since then.
Rent benchmark
Fair market rent by size
$2,212
3-bed / month
HUD Fair Market Rents, fiscal 2027, for this county. A typical rent for a modest unit, used to set housing-voucher payments.
Neighborhood price trend
Long-run price trend, 2000–2025
0%
2025 change
FHFA repeat-sales index, median of 107 census tracts in this county (2000 = 100). Bars are each year's median change.
Natural hazard exposure
The area's risk shape
43
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index. Each spoke is a hazard ranked nationally, where 100 is the most exposed. Expected annual loss: $212,568,255.
Mortgage activity
Home lending in this county
72.3%
2018 approval rate
| Year | Applications | Loans made | Approval | Investor share | Median home value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 38886 | 18131 | 72.3% | 4.2% | $185,000 |
CFPB Home Mortgage Disclosure Act records: every mortgage application reported by lenders for homes in this county. Approval rate is approved ÷ decided (withdrawn and incomplete files excluded). Investor share and home value are the median census tract.
Polk County, Florida
Polk County's residential housing market reflects balanced-to-buyer-favorable conditions, characterized by 4.7 months of supply and a median sale price of approximately $311,490, down 2.0% year-over-year. Active inventory sits above 5,600 units with roughly 26% of listings executing price reductions, granting prospective buyers extended negotiation leverage while sellers achieve approximately 95.5% of list price.
No ARED distress-ledger coverage for this county yet — the foreclosure ingest rotates the national county directory, and filings appear here once the county's posted notices are read. Key-figure check: no independent anchor retained yet — first-researched cycles establish the anchor baseline this pass.
Select a city to expand its ZIP intel reports beneath · 17 cities · 47 ZIP reports
Median prices moved down 2.8% year over year.
Homes spend a median of 80 days on market with 0.6 months of supply — a fast-moving market.
1% of listings have cut prices · homes sell at 16.68% of asking — demand is holding steady.
no recorded foreclosure-ledger notices (0.0 per 10,000 residents) · unemployment 4.6% · poverty 13.9% — a stable, low-distress profile.
Owned and leased federal assets with active or excess status, per the General Services Administration's Real Estate Across the United States inventory (read 2026-09-25). A federal footprint read on this county — not a market valuation, and never an attribute of any individual property or tenant.
Deterministic aggregate of 47 researched ZIP reports — sales_count-weighted (population fallback); per point, children lacking the value or its weight are excluded. Tax rates, sentiment and context notes are tier-native and never roll.
Polk County, Florida — researched county-level history with a deterministic 1 / 3 / 5-year projection
Solid: researched ten-year history · dotted: 1 / 3 / 5-year projection extended from the historical 9.7%/yr trend — a deterministic estimate, not a published forecast or guarantee.
Each property observation weighs one in its ZIP's deterministic roll-up — property-level records (taxes, scores, permits) never roll individually. Latest property research run Oct 7, 2026.
researched Sep 16
researched Sep 16
researched Sep 16
researched Sep 16
researched Sep 16
researched Sep 17
researched Sep 17
researched Sep 21
researched Sep 21
researched Sep 21
| 33801 | Lakeland | $270,000 | $182 | -3.3% | 53 | 97.5% | — | 0 | 3 | $1,167 | researched Sep 16 |
| 33803 | Lakeland | $304,000 | $199 | +0.5% | 20 | — | — | — | 132 | $1,450 | researched Sep 16 |
| 33804 | Lakeland | $313,000 | $191 | -1.3% | 45 | 98.5% | 22.2% | 3.6 | 1,009 | $1,850 | researched Sep 16 |
| 33805 | Lakeland | $209,950 | $215 | -8.9% | 62 | — | — | — | 163 | $1,232 | researched Sep 16 |
| 33806 | Lakeland | $329,000 | $191 | -3.3% | 53 | — | — | — | 3 | $1,850 | researched Sep 16 |
| 33807 | Lakeland | $329,000 | $188 | -3.3% | 53 | 95.1% | — | — | 3 | $1,800 | researched Sep 17 |
| 33809 | Lakeland | $325,000 | $194 | +5.2% | 37 | — | — | — | 250 | $1,510 | researched Sep 17 |
| 33810 | Lakeland | $280,000 | $185 | -11.1% | 34 | 95.1% | 26% | 6 | 623 | $1,539 | researched Sep 21 |
| 33811 | Lakeland | $344,250 | $189 | -10.5% | 67 | 98.5% | 22.2% | 4.8 | 315 | $1,361 | researched Sep 21 |
| 33812 | Lakeland | $329,000 | $205 | -3.3% | 53 | 98% | — | — | 1,120 | $1,834 | researched Sep 21 |
Figures are each ZIP report's own latest research — the county roll-up aggregates them sales_count-weighted (population fallback); ZIPs cycle quarterly.
Polk County's overall index crime rates track moderately below the Florida statewide metropolitan average, with reported violent crime concentrated largely in specific urbanized pockets of Lakeland and Winter Haven. Long-term property crime rates have steadily trended downward alongside suburban build-out, though rural agricultural theft and highway corridor larceny remain persistent local enforcement focuses.
Polk County Public Schools serves as the primary countywide district, holding an overall Florida Department of Education district grade of 'C' or 'B' depending on recent standardized testing vintages. The district contains prominent high-performing specialty magnet and collegiate programs, including International Baccalaureate programs at Bartow High School and specialized academies in Lakeland.
As an inland Central Florida county situated along the central spine, Polk faces zero direct coastal surge hazard, though significant inland flash flooding occurs along low-lying lacustrine basins and the Peace River drainage system during tropical storm events. Wind hazard remains moderate during landfalling Atlantic and Gulf hurricanes, while statewide property insurance reinsurance pressures and Citizens Property Insurance exposure present an ongoing cost factor.
Polk County represents one of Florida's fastest-growing logistics and distribution centers along the Interstate 4 corridor between Tampa and Orlando. Economic momentum is supported by major corporate anchors including Publix Super Markets headquarters, Amazon fulfillment campuses, healthcare expansions, and substantial residential subdivision development.
Composed from the ARED governance burden registry — tier-native tax structure (state + county + city + special districts), never averaged. State (Florida) — Statewide Uniform Property Tax Lien Priority & Tax Deed Sale Enforcement: Unpaid real ad valorem and non-ad valorem taxes become a first-priority sovereign lien on January 1 of the tax year, superior to all mortgages and private liens. If unpaid by April 1 following the tax year, tax certificates are sold via competitive bidding under § 197.432. State (Florida) — Community Development District (CDD) Special Assessment & Financing Lien Mandate: Binds the parcel to non-ad valorem assessments levied directly by the CDD board to fund infrastructure bonds (capital assessments) and operations/maintenance (O&M assessments). State (Florida) — Florida Constitutional Homestead Exemption & Save Our Homes (SOH) Assessment Cap: Reduces taxable value by up to $50,000: base $25,000 exemption applies to all taxing authorities (including school districts); second $25,000 exemption applies to assessed value between $50,000 and $75,000 for non-school millage. State (Florida) — Florida Ad Valorem Real Property Assessment & Tax Mechanics: Parcels are assessed annually at 100% just value (market value) as of January 1 by county property appraisers. Tax formula: Tax Bill = (Taxable Value / 1,000) * Total Levied Millage Rate. Assessed Value = Just Value - Assessment Limitations.
Polk County's economy is anchored by retail and corporate logistics, agriculture, healthcare, tourism, and advanced manufacturing. Publix Super Markets maintains its worldwide corporate headquarters and distribution operations in Lakeland, while massive fulfillment networks along the I-4 corridor leverage the county's central position between Tampa Bay and metropolitan Orlando.
Transportation centers on Interstate 4 across the northern tier, connecting Tampa and Orlando, supplemented by the Polk Parkway (State Road 570) toll beltway around Lakeland. U.S. Highway 27 serves as the primary north-south spine through eastern Polk County, while the Citrus Connection provides fixed-route regional public transit bus service.
Polk County's planning agenda manages rapid residential conversion of agricultural and citrus acreage into master-planned single-family and build-to-rent communities, primarily along the U.S. 27 and I-4 growth boundaries, requiring ongoing water infrastructure and roadway capacity concurrency.
The Polk County Property Appraiser assesses all real and tangible personal property annually at just market value as of January 1. Assessment caps under Florida's Save Our Homes amendment restrict annual assessment hikes on qualified homestead parcels to the lesser of 3% or the Consumer Price Index, while non-homestead properties are protected by a 10% statutory cap.
Parcels across Polk County are subject to overlapping special taxing authorities including the Southwest Florida Water Management District (Swiftmud), the Lake Region Lakes Management District, local community development districts (CDDs) funding master-planned infrastructure bonds, and municipal service taxing units (MSTUs).
Florida's challenging property insurance market has led to high premiums and tightened underwriting criteria across Polk County, though inland positioning mitigates catastrophic storm surge exposure. Approximately 5,380 properties in the county rely on Citizens Property Insurance Corporation as the state-backed insurer of last resort, with average annual premiums for single-family homes around $1,931.
- LEGOLAND® Florida Resort4.48.9 mi
- PEPPA PIG Theme Park Florida4.18.7 mi
- Boggy Creek Airboat Adventures4.827.8 mi
- LEGOLAND® Florida Water Park4.59 mi
- Planet Obstacle - Adventure park4.625.4 mi
- Bonnet Springs Park4.921.1 mi
- RP FUNDING CENTER4.320.8 mi
- Publix Field at Joker Marchant Stadium4.721.6 mi
- Cinépolis Luxury Cinemas IMAX Polk4.225.9 mi
- Lake Myrtle Sports Park4.618.2 mi
- Bok Tower Gardens4.88.7 mi
- PEPPA PIG Theme Park Florida4.18.7 mi
- Circle B Bar Reserve4.814.1 mi
- Lake Eva Community Park4.717 mi
- LEGOLAND® Florida Water Park4.59 mi
- Bok Tower Gardens4.88.7 mi
- Florida Children's Museum4.621.3 mi
- Florida Air Museum4.422.2 mi
- Spook Hill3.97.5 mi
- The Ashley Gibson Barnett Museum of Art (The AGB) at Florida Southern College4.619.8 mi
- Lake Myrtle Sports Park4.618.2 mi
- Circle B Bar Reserve4.814.1 mi
- Lake Eva Community Park4.717 mi
- Common Ground Playground4.818.7 mi
- Holloway Park4.516.8 mi
- Streamsong Golf Resort4.518.9 mi
- Southern Dunes Golf and Country Club4.518.8 mi
- Cleveland Heights Golf Course4.218.6 mi
- The Club At Eaglebrooke4.516.1 mi
- Cypresswood Golf and Country Club3.810.9 mi
- International Market World Flea and Farmers Market4.315.8 mi
- Publix Super Market at Haines City Mall4.517.2 mi
- Rural King4.58.5 mi
- Publix Super Market at Grove Park Shopping Center4.618.2 mi
- Publix Super Market at Southgate Shopping Center4.619.5 mi
- Lakeland Linder International Airport4.721.8 mi
Theme parks, venues, golf, airports, museums, water and shopping across the area from Google Maps, ranked by popularity within the radius shown.
The amenity base that shapes daily life and property demand in this county — what residents actually live with, and what the pipeline is adding.
Located on the historic Cypress Gardens grounds in Winter Haven, this multi-park destination provides premier entertainment, rides, and water attractions for families, anchoring regional tourism.
Situated on Iron Mountain in Lake Wales, this 250-acre cultural and contemplative park features the famous 205-foot Singing Tower carillon and Olmsted-designed rolling gardens.
A central landmark in downtown Lakeland with historic promenade walkways, formal neo-classical European gardens, and public gathering spaces that host citywide civic events.
Winter Haven's interconnected freshwater lakes feature public boat ramps, shoreline recreation, water-skiing traditions, and extensive waterfront dining accessible by boat.
Built over reclaimed phosphate mining lands in southern Polk County, this nationally recognized golf destination offers three acclaimed 18-hole courses and luxury hospitality.
Retrieved from Census ACS 5-year estimates and regional economic partnership profiles for Polk County, FL.
Unpaid real ad valorem and non-ad valorem taxes become a first-priority sovereign lien on January 1 of the tax year, superior to all mortgages and private liens. If unpaid by April 1 following the tax year, tax certificates are sold via competitive bidding under § 197.432. If unredeemed after two years, the certificate holder may initiate a tax deed application leading to public auction and extinguishing junior mortgages.
Fla. Stat. ch. 197 (Tax Collections, Sales, and Liens).
Preempts local building technical codes and mandates strict parcel-level adherence to high-velocity hurricane, impact-resistant glazing, wind load engineering, and flood elevation construction criteria enforced by local building officials through mandatory permitting, inspections, and certificates of occupancy.
Fla. Stat. ch. 553, Part IV (Florida Building Codes Act).
Prohibits local authorities from issuing development orders, rezonings, or building permits for a parcel unless public infrastructure (roads, potable water, wastewater, stormwater management) meets statutory 'concurrency' capacity standards required by the state-monitored Local Government Comprehensive Planning and Land Development Regulation Act.
Fla. Stat. ch. 163, Part II (Community Planning Act).
Requires statutory warning language to be included in at least one document or form prior to or at the execution of every contract for sale or rental agreement. Alerts purchasers to the risks of radon gas, state testing benchmarks, and public health advisories.
Fla. Stat. § 404.056(5).
applies when — Parcel is situated partially or wholly seaward of the Florida Coastal Construction Control Line established under § 161.053
Imposes strict state-level environmental and engineering permitting controls administered by the Florida Department of Environmental Protection (DEP) prohibiting any excavation, construction, or alteration without a CCCL permit, overriding general local zoning. Any contract for sale must contain a mandatory statutory disclosure statement informing the buyer that the parcel is subject to CCCL restrictions and potential erosion risks.
Fla. Stat. §§ 161.053, 161.57.
applies when — Parcel is sited within an established Chapter 190 Community Development District
Binds the parcel to non-ad valorem assessments levied directly by the CDD board to fund infrastructure bonds (capital assessments) and operations/maintenance (O&M assessments). These assessments are co-equal in lien priority with municipal and county ad valorem real property taxes, collected via the annual uniform tax bill under § 197.3632, and subject the parcel to immediate tax certificate sale or tax deed loss if unpaid. Contracts must provide an explicit bolded statutory CDD disclosure.
Fla. Stat. § 190.021, § 190.048, and ch. 197.
applies when — Residential parcel located within a master-planned or subdivided community governed by a recorded declaration under Chapter 720
Subject to restrictive covenants, architectural controls, and assessment obligations imposed by the association. Unpaid assessments form a statutory lien against the parcel with authority to foreclose judicially. Prospective purchasers must be served a mandatory statutory disclosure summary (§ 720.401) prior to executing any purchase contract; failure to provide it provides the buyer an absolute voidability window of up to 3 days from receipt or until closing.
Fla. Stat. ch. 720 (Homeowners' Associations), specifically §§ 720.3085, 720.401.
Non-judicial/power-of-sale foreclosure is prohibited; all mortgage encumbrances must be foreclosed through an equitable action in the circuit court. Homeowners hold an equity of redemption allowing satisfaction of the debt and dismissal until the clerk files the certificate of sale under § 45.031. Following sale, a statutory 10-day objection window applies before the clerk issues the final certificate of title conveying ownership.
Fla. Stat. ch. 702 (Mortgage Foreclosure) & § 45.031 (Judicial Sales Procedure).
Requires residential real property sellers to complete and deliver a statutory flood disclosure form prior to or at the time of executing the sales contract. Must disclose whether the seller has ever filed an insurance claim relating to flood damage with any carrier, including the NFIP, and whether the seller has ever received federal disaster assistance for flood damage on the parcel.
Fla. Stat. § 689.261 (enacted under HB 1049, eff. October 1, 2024).
Imposes an affirmative common-law duty on sellers of residential real property to disclose all facts known to the seller materially affecting the value or desirability of the property that are not readily observable and are not known to the buyer. 'As-is' contractual clauses do not relieve the seller of liability for fraudulent concealment or failure to disclose known latent material defects.
Johnson v. Davis, 480 So. 2d 625 (Fla. 1985) and progeny.
applies when — Owner maintains legal or beneficial title and establishes the parcel as their permanent primary residence as of January 1 and files by March 1
Reduces taxable value by up to $50,000: base $25,000 exemption applies to all taxing authorities (including school districts); second $25,000 exemption applies to assessed value between $50,000 and $75,000 for non-school millage. Also confers the 'Save Our Homes' (SOH) cap, restricting annual increases in assessed value to the lesser of 3% or the Consumer Price Index (CPI). Upon transfer of ownership, SOH and exemptions reset, reassessing the parcel to full just value on January 1 of the following year.
Fla. Const. art. VII, § 4(d) & § 6; Fla. Stat. §§ 193.155, 196.031.
Parcels are assessed annually at 100% just value (market value) as of January 1 by county property appraisers. Tax formula: Tax Bill = (Taxable Value / 1,000) * Total Levied Millage Rate. Assessed Value = Just Value - Assessment Limitations. Taxable Value = Assessed Value - Applicable Exemptions. Millage rates (1 mill = $1 per $1,000 taxable value) are set by overlapping local taxing jurisdictions (county, municipal, school district, water management). Property taxes are billed in October/November and must be paid by March 31 of the following year.
Fla. Const. art. VII; Fla. Stat. ch. 192, 193, 200.
Governance registry — every jurisdiction re-researches on a rolling 90-day cycle. Property reports compose these inherited burdens into a per-parcel ledger with conditional determinations. Informational only — not legal advice.